Web1.2 Martingale convergence theorem 1.3 Doob’s decomposition and the martingale Borel– Cantelli lemma 1.4 Doob’s maximal inequality Our first optional stopping theorem is the following. {thm:opt-1} Theorem 1. Let (Xn)n be a submartingale and let N be a bounded stopping time, i.e. N ≤ k a.s. for some k ∈ N. Then EX0 ≤ EXN ≤ EXk. Proof. WebApr 23, 2024 · Optional Stopping in Discrete Time. A simple corollary of the optional stopping theorem is that if \( \bs X \) is a martingale and \( \tau \) a bounded stopping time, then \( \E(X_\tau) = \E(X_0) \) (with the appropriate inequalities if \( \bs X \) is a sub-martingale or a super-martingale). Our next discussion centers on other conditions which ...
Notes 18 : Optional Sampling Theorem - Department of …
WebIn probability theory, the optional stopping theorem (or sometimes Doob's optional sampling theorem, for American probabilist Joseph Doob) says that, under certain … WebTheorem14.7below is called theStopping Time(orOptional Sampling, or OptionalStopping)Theorem,itisduetothemathematicianJ.L.Doob(1910-2004).Itisalsousedin Exercise14.6below. Theorem 14.7. Assume that (Mt) t∈R+ is a martingale with respect to (Ft) t∈R+, andthatτis an(Ft) t∈R+-stopping time.Then, thestoppedpro-cess(Mt∧τ) bdg men\u0027s pants
pr.probability - History of optional sampling/stopping theorem ...
Web4. OPTIONAL SAMPLING THEOREM 5 THEOREM 3.3. (Doob decomposition) Let X be a submartingale. Then there is a unique increasing predictable process Z with Z 0 = 0 and a martingale M such that Xn = Mn + Zn. PROOF. Suppose that we have such a decomposition. Conditioning on F n 1 in Zn Z n 1 = Xn X n 1 (Mn M n 1), we have Zn Z n … Web1 Answer. "Optional stopping" and "optional sampling" refer to a strategy of peeking while you are sampling and then, based on what you find, exercise the option to quit sampling. Doob's theorem states that in a fair casino, where your return is a martingale, you cannot increase your expected return if you are given the option to stop betting ... WebJul 23, 2024 · The theorem provides three conditions, under which a stopped process is a martingale. One of these conditions is that the stopping time $T_A$ (associated with an … bdg media wiki